Introduction
Today, an increasing number of children and teenagers suffer from hypertension due to poor lifestyle, including poor nutrition, low physical activity, overweight or obesity. There is evidence that high blood pressure and cardiovascular disease in adulthood originate in childhood. Early identification of children with hypertension or at higher risk of hypertension is necessary to minimize the risks and consequences of this condition.
Today, the use of machine learning methods as a useful and effective solution in predicting and controlling hypertension has received special attention. On the other hand, diagnosing and predicting high blood pressure with the help of a mobile application can increase the ability to monitor blood pressure due to its ease of use for many people. In this study, we aim to design and develop a mobile application for diagnosing and predicting hypertension in children, using machine learning methods, so that parents can continuously control and monitor their children’s blood pressure.
Methods
In this applied-developmental study that was conducted in 2022, first, the values related to 19 factors affecting hypertension were collected from 1287 primary school children aged 7-13 years using questionnaires and measurements with the written consent of their parents. After data preprocessing and preparation, three commonly used machine learning methods in hypertension diagnosis and prediction, including multi-layer perceptron (MLP), support vector machine (SVM) and random forest (RF), were separately applied to the data set and performed the prediction. In the proposed model, four categories of normal blood pressure, pre-hypertension, stage 1 hypertension and stage 2 hypertension were considered as the observation framework. Then, the results obtained from the three mentioned learning methods were combined using the Dempster-Shafer evidence theory for the final prediction. Model implementation was done using Weka software, version 3.8.6 and Python programming language. To measure the effectiveness of the model, the 10-fold cross-validation method and the paired t-test were used for comparison. P<0.05 was considered statistically significant. Finally, the proposed model was implemented using the Kiwi software, version 2.1.0 development kit in an Android mobile application.
Results
The rates of precision, sensitivity and specificity for the proposed model and three machine learning methods are shown in
Table 1.
The rates for the proposed model in comparison with other new methods for diagnosing and predicting hypertension are presented in
Table 2.
The results showed that the precision, sensitivity and specificity for the proposed model were significantly higher than those of the three machine learning methods and those of other methods. The results of the paired t-test for comparing the accuracy of the proposed model and other methods are shown in
Table 3. Considering that the P<0.05, it can be said that the difference in the effectiveness between the proposed model and learning methods and other methods was statistically significant.
Conclusion
These results showed that the proposed model can better predict and diagnose hypertension in children and can help improve accuracy and reduce the error rate. By using the developed mobile application, parents can find out about their children’s blood pressure status and see a doctor immediately if there was any danger. This application, in addition to being a basis for timely and appropriate prevention and treatment of hypertension in children, can help make decisions for the allocation of health resources and necessary policies.
Ethical Considerations
Compliance with ethical guidelines
This study was approved by Mashhad University of Medical Sciences (Code: MUMS.IR 038.1401.REC).
Funding
This research did not receive any grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or non-profit sectors.
Authors' contributions
Conceptualization, formal analysis, methodology, investigation, supervision: All authors; Software, writing, funding acquisition, and resources: Hamidreza Tahmasbi.
Conflicts of interest
The authors declared no conflict of interest.
References